Wholesale used car prices drop ahead of Fed rate decision

Wholesale used vehicle prices declined in the first half of September, moving against typical trends for this time of year.

Driving the news: Average auction prices typically rise in September, but values seem to be moving against historical trends, according to Cox Automotive.

  • Wholesale used vehicle prices, on a seasonally adjusted basis, declined 0.2% from August in the first two weeks of the month.

  • This represents a shift from last month, when auction values rose 1.2% over July. On an annual basis, wholesale prices are down about 5%.

Zooming in: Other notable trends in used car auctions are emerging for this time of year, reflecting a shift in the preowned market.

  • But the first two weeks of September saw a decline in the daily sales conversion rate, suggesting that dealers are not racing to auction which is considered normal for the season.

  • Bigger models are still seeing faster price declines than other cars as buyers continue to prioritize affordability. Compared to the average year-over-year drop of 5%, SUV prices fell 5.2%, midsize vehicles fell 5.7%, and pickups fell 7.5%.

Bottom line: The wholesale market continues to reflect broader themes in the preowned segment. But while dealers should take note of the emerging trends for this time of year, caution is warranted considering the Federal Reserve’s rate cut decision is due later today. Should rates come down as expected, this could fuel a drastic shift in consumer demand, making the latter half of the month look very different from the former.

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