Mexico’s auto exports to the U.S. fell sharply in the first two months of 2026, even as the country’s overall exports to the U.S. increased.

The details: Vehicle and parts imports from Mexico have been steadily declining since President Donald Trump imposed 25% tariffs last year on light-, medium-, and heavy-duty vehicles, with the impact on the sector now coming into clearer view, according to a report by Mexico News Daily.

  • The value of Mexico’s auto-sector exports to the U.S. fell 13.4% year over year in the first two months of 2026, according to U.S. data.

  • Mexico’s motor vehicle and parts exports to the U.S. totaled $23.15 billion in January and February, down from $26.74 billion a year earlier.

  • Exports of passenger cars to the U.S. were worth $5.14 billion in the first two months of 2026, down 27.5% from $7.1 billion in the same period of 2025.

  • Two-way auto-sector trade between the U.S. and Mexico totaled $29.12 billion in January and February, down 12.7% from $33.37 billion a year earlier.

In 2025, Mexico’s overall auto-sector exports fell 4.2% YoY to $185.79 billion as the country began to feel the impact of the tariffs, with nearly 80% of all its auto exports going to the U.S.

What this all means: The numbers are another sign that tariffs are putting pressure on one of the most interconnected vehicle supply chains in the world, with sustained disruption in U.S.-Mexico auto trade likely to affect pricing, availability, and model mix on dealership lots.

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Worth noting: The January-February trade figures for Mexico’s overall U.S. exports looked very different from the auto sector’s, underscoring the unique complexity of automotive trade.

  • Mexico’s overall revenue from goods shipped to the U.S. rose 4.2% YoY to $86.82 billion in January and February.

  • U.S. exports to Mexico totaled $60.49 billion in the first two months of the year, up 10.6% from the same period of 2025.

  • Two-way trade overall between the neighboring countries increased 6.2% YoY to $147.32 billion during the period.

  • In the first two months of the year, Mexico’s share of the U.S. import market rose to 16.9% from 13.8% a year earlier.

Bottom line: While overall U.S.-Mexico trade is still growing, automotive is proving more vulnerable to tariff pressure, meaning dealers should watch how policy-driven shifts in cross-border vehicle and parts flow translate into higher costs and tighter inventory in key segments.

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