Americans are missing their car payments at a staggering rate

Longer loan terms have kept purchases within reach—but that "quick fix" has real trade-offs. (2 min. read)

Car ownership costs, from loans to insurance, are climbing faster than incomes, testing consumers in an economy that has been showing signs of strain.

Driving the news: Longer auto loan terms have kept purchases within reach so far, but rising delinquencies in the auto asset-backed securities market suggest that this approach may be hitting its limit.

By the numbers:

  • 6.6% of subprime auto borrowers were 60+ days past due in January 2025, the highest in Fitch Ratings' records.

  • In February, subprime delinquencies were slightly lower, but the 2025 average holds above 6%, up 45 bps from 2024.

  • 0.39% of prime borrowers posted 60-day delinquencies in January 2025, up from 0.35% a year earlier.

  • Interest rates on 84-month loans are up 76 basis points, 72-month loans also rose 49 bps, and 60-month loans increased as well by 22 bps.

Why it matters: Several factors are pushing car ownership expenses higher, including elevated new vehicle prices ($48,000+), inflated insurance premiums, and rising repair costs. So auto lenders—and dealers—lean on longer terms not just to make monthly payments affordable, but to lower the debt-to-income (DTI) ratio, which is critical for loan approvals.

Yes, but that approach introduces long-term risks across the system, like:

  • Ballooning negative equity as car values drop.

  • A slowdown in trade-ins, as more buyers are tied to 6-7 year loans.

  • The possibility of loans falling further into delinquency or even default territory—resulting in more lender charge-offs.

Bottom line: With tariff pressures bearing down and subprime delinquencies exceeding 5.5% for over 2 years—it appears the auto lending market is settling into a new, "ugly" normal.

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